NOTES ABOUT SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WEATHER & CLIMATE
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Weathernotes Archive July 2002

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NDMC 12 Month SPI Thru June 2002Click!
NDMC 12 Month SPI Thru June 2002

Weathernotes for Tuesday, July 9, 2002

Downtown Los Angeles has experienced it's driest water year since record-keeping began in 1877. Only 4.42 inches of rain was recorded from July 1, 2001 to June 30, 2002. This was 29% of the 30 year seasonal norm. For more information see the archived NWS Public Information Statement.

The 12-month Standardized Precipitation Index from the National Drought Mitigation Center shows the extent of the drought. For a description of various drought indices see Drought Indices by Dr. Michael J. Hayes Climate Impacts Specialist, NDMC.

The June/July value of the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) was 0.845; which was about the same value as for May/June. According to Dr. Klaus Walter this ranks as the 13th strongest "El Niño" for May/June since 1950, and is a somewhat lower value than anticipated.

A tabulation of several ENSO forecasts by Australia's Bureau of Meteorology National Climate Centre suggests that a warm ENSO state is probable this Winter. Generally, warm ENSO events are associated with above average rainfall in Southern California. For example see SOI - Precipitation Scatter Plots - South Coast California Climate Division (6).

More information concerning Southern California weather can be found using our WEATHER LINKS page.



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