NOTES ABOUT SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WEATHER & CLIMATE
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Weathernotes Archive July 2004

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GOES-10 Visible Satellite Photo (NRL) 2300z 4:00 pm PDT Julu 2, 2004Click!
GOES-10 Visible Satellite Photo (NRL)
2300z 4:00 pm PDT July 2

Weathernotes for Saturday, July 3, 2004

Triggered by instability and moisture associated with a weak upper low, thunderstorms developed along the Sierra and in the Ventura County mountains yesterday afternoon, resulting in isolated areas of gusty winds and heavy rain.

June 30th was the end of the 2003-2004 water year. Unofficially, downtown Los Angeles (USC) received 9.25 inches of rain, which is about 61% of normal. Much of Southern California recorded below normal rainfall, generally ranging from about 50-85%. Mount Wilson recorded 14.4 inches for the water year, which is only about 36% of normal.

The U.S. Drought Monitor for conditions as of June 29, 2004, continues to show much of the western U.S. affected by moderate to extreme drought, with areas of Idaho, Wyoming and Montana experiencing exceptional drought.

Experts are divided in their forecasts regarding the development of an El Niño by this Winter. Forecasts appear to have been trending towards ENSO Neutral conditions. The April/May Multivariate ENSO Index stands at 0.43, continuing a modest increase to near weak El Niño conditions. According to NOAA's Dr. Klaus Wolter, "The window of opportunity for a relapse into La Niña is closing rapidly, while a recovery into modest El Niño conditions is still possible." We'll see!

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